The transformation in the urban environment of India is a
silent but a great change. Tier-1 cities such as Mumbai, Delhi, Bengaluru and
Chennai have taken on a leading role in the real estate story in the decades.
They have been perceived as the centers of development, hope and possibilities.
The inexorable trend of urbanization, soaring property costs and the
infringement of infrastructure have however slowly turned the attention of home
buyers as well as developers to Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities. The new frontier of
affordable housing in India is what was initially being determined as a
peripheral market.
The concept of affordable housing has undergone a lot of
development in the last ten years. The industry has been given an impressive
impetus with the introduction of the Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana (PMAY), the
Housing for All mission, and other state-based incentives. However,
affordability in Tier-1 cities is a significant issue regardless of the support
of policies. Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities, in turn, offer a combination of factors
that is uniquely advantageous: the decreased cost of land, the increasing infrastructure,
the increasing number of employment opportunities, and the increasing number of
aspirational middle classes.
The smaller cities are not just characterized by their size;
they are the new trend of urban growth. Indore, Lucknow, Surat, Coimbatore,
Nagpur, Jaipur Vishakhapatnam and many other cities are turning out to be hot
real estate markets. Similarly smaller Tier-3 cities like Kochi, Nashik, Guntur
and Mysuru are also experiencing growing residential demand by local population
as well as by metro-returning migrants.
This transition was further boosted by the COVID-19
pandemic. Telecommuting, online connectivity and shifting lifestyle desires
have enabled families to leave overcrowded metros to live in cheaper,
habitable, and sustainable cities. Developers who were reluctant to venture
into smaller markets in the past are now looking at them as start-up point to
long-term investment and growth.
With India making an ambitious target of providing housing
to everyone, Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities will be a defining part. Not only are
they bridging the affordability gap but they are also establishing a new
standard of quality urban living.
The Emergence of
Metro and Megacities in Indian Urban Lands.
The Indian urbanization is no longer about the megacities of
India. In the last 20 years, Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities have become the engines
of economic growth in the country. This change is preconditioned by a variety
of factors that are interdependent — demographic development, the regional
policy of investments, better connectivity, and the digital revolution. These
smaller cities are proving to be a possibility of living, working, and
investing as industries are no longer metro-driven.
The past trend in urbanization in India was strongly
disproportionate to the large metros because of the instrumentalization of the
industry and infrastructure. Nevertheless, the high rate of population growth
was soon followed by an overcrowding, traffic jam, environmental strain and
high-housing costs. At the same time, transport, telecommunications, and
logistic advances have enabled firms to work effectively in small cities. This
change was further spurred by the Smart Cities Mission, which was initiated by
the Indian government in 2015 and that facilitated sustainable urban planning
and digital governance in mid-sized cities.
The other key driver to this increase is the growth of
middle class. As the disposable income and aspiration lifestyles of more people
in small towns increase, they are now demanding improved housing, facilities
and connectivity. Reports by industries have indicated that in Tier-2 cities
like Lucknow, Coimbatore and Chandigarh the residential demand has increased by
more than 20 percent over the last couple of years. The growth is not limited
to the local residents since a huge chunk is now demand by the migrants who
back to metros and NRIs seeking value-based investments in their native places.
Moreover, the distance within small cities and the large
economic centers has decreased due to better transport infrastructure,
including expressways, regional airports, and metro projects. As an example,
the Delhi-Meerut Expressway and Mumbai- Nagpur Samruddhi Mahamarg have
integrated the Tier-2 in the national economic system, offering real estate
potential on the route.
The cultural and environmental edge that such cities have is
what makes this transition interesting. Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities generally have
a healthier air, reduced traffic, and a greater sense of community - all of
which has gained particular importance after the pandemic. As a result, they
are no longer regarded as compromises but as preferable destinations that are
affordable and have good quality of life.
Therefore, the emergence of Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities is not
only the beginning of the geographic growth but also the redesign of the Indian
urban identity. They are an all-inclusive formula of development, in which
development is not limited to metropolitan regions, but it also includes the
sensitivities of the hinterland in India.
Affordability
Equation: Smaller Cities Are Making Sense.
The housing issue in India is based on affordability. In
Tier-1 cities, it is still too expensive to own a home amongst the majority of
middle-class families. The real estate has been closed to the common income
earners due to land shortage, increasing construction prices, and speculative
prices. Unlike that, Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities provide a soothing alternative
the affordable housing that does not have to be as cruel as quality, space, and
accessibility.
The difference in prices is impressive. In such metros as
Mumbai and Delhi the average prices of properties are between 15,000 and 25,000
per sq. ft. By comparison, such cities as Indore, Jaipur, or Kochi have homes
available as low as ₹3,000
to 6,000 per sq. ft. This huge mark-up is a gateway to an even wider group of
purchasers, such as first-time house owners, professionals with a regular pay,
and small businesses.
Additionally, the cost of acquiring land is lower in small
cities and this gives developers an opportunity to develop more affordable yet
profitable projects. The larger units, better amenities and open spaces can be
provided by builders, which is rapidly diminishing in metro developments. This
low cost element has not only drawn in end-users, but it has also drawn the
investments of those who want to get stable returns in terms of renting and
capital growth.
The favorable financial conditions also make these markets
affordable. The cost of ownership has been reduced to a low by home loan
interest rates, government subsidies in PMAY, and tax incentives. There are
also numerous state governments that provide stamp duty rebates and lower
registration fees of affordable housing buyers. When these benefits are added
with a reduction in property prices, it gives a load offer to the middle-income
families that they cannot resist.
Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities are also supported by local
employment growth to support the demand. The emergence of IT hubs, industrial,
logistics parks, and learning institutions have led to the introduction of
regular employment markets that are not metropolitan-based. It would mean that
individuals are able to purchase housing around their workplaces, which lowers
the commuting expenses and enhances work-life balance.
Even developers are not failing to realize the potential of
these markets in the long-term. Companies such as Tata Housing, Mahindra Life
space and Godrej Properties have started developing in Tier-2 cities by
launching projects that are affordable yet have modernistic designs. Even
regional developers which were limited to local markets are currently scaled up
with novel funding and alliances.
Essentially, affordability in smaller cities is not only
about the cheap houses, but it is a sustainable economic system. It is
consistent with Indian demographic fact a young, urbanizing population that
wants dignity and comfort at its means. To policy-makers, it provides a channel
through which the housing gap could be narrowed down to facilitate inclusive
urban development.
Infrastructure
Development: The Foundation of Growth
The city cannot expand sustainably without a strong
infrastructure and this is where the Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities are now making
major steps. In the last ten years, India has experienced unprecedented
investment in the infrastructure in the region - highways and metro lines,
smart utilities and digital connectivity. These are gearing smaller cities to
become well integrated and places to live and do business.
This has been facilitated by the Smart Cities Mission.
Cities such as Surat, Indore, and Bhopal have introduced the best-in-the-field
projects, which are waste management, water recycling, e-governance and green
transportation. On the same note, integrated urban mobility systems and
renewable energy programs have been implemented in Tier-3 cities like Dharwad
and Tirupati. The focus on digitalization and sustainability makes sure that
these cities do not develop in a chaotic way.
Maintenance of transportation network has been a game
changer too. The Bharatmala and Sagarmala are some of the projects, which have
enhanced connectivity via road and port, making the transfer of goods and
people easier. The UDAN scheme to expand regional airports has also provided
air travel opportunities to smaller towns in the country as regional airports
provide direct connection with major commercial hubs. This enhanced access not
only to the demand of the real estate but also to the economic activity in the
local level.
Besides that, the development of industrial and economic
corridors has triggered housing development. The DelhiMumbai Industrial
Corridor (DMIC), the ChennaiBengaluru Industrial Corridor and the likes are
establishing new points of employment within the areas that surround them.
These corridors are where manufacturing companies and logistics companies are
drawn which consequently leads to residential demand on the workforce they
require.
The other pillar which contributes to the emergence of
smaller cities is digital infrastructure. The implementation of the high-speed
internet, 5G networks, and e-governance platforms has allowed businesses and
professionals to work effectively in non-metro areas. This online empowerment
has seen the possibility of remote employment, which has led to migration to
low-cost areas.
Policy Support and
Government Initiatives.
The Indian government has been instrumental in driving the
affordable housing agenda to the Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities. Understanding the
huge demand-supply mismatch in urban housing, the policy makers have initiated
a number of plans which provide incentives to both the buyers as well as the
developers.
The flagship program is the Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana
(PMAY-Urban). PMAY has made home ownership to be much more affordable by
subsidizing the interest on low and middle income households to a maximum of
6.5 percent. According to recent reports, millions of homes have been approved
under the scheme with a significant percentage of them being held in non-metro
regions. The vision of Housing for All developed by the government specifically
acknowledges smaller cities as the key to reaching the goal of universal
housing coverage.
In addition to PMAY, the Credit Linked Subsidy Scheme (CLSS)
has also relaxed access to inexpensive financing. At the same time, the Real
Estate (Regulation and Development) Act (RERA) has enhanced transparency,
increased buyer confidence and minimized risks - improving smaller markets as
attractive to investors.
In the supply side, local incentives by the state
governments have been proposed including reduction of stamp duties, one window
clearance, and rebate on development charges. These steps will minimize project
schedules and budgets on the project developer, who will tend to venture into
other markets other than metros.
Besides these, there is also the Smart Cities Mission, the
Atal Mission for Rejuvenation and Urban Transformation (AMRUT), as well as
swachh Bharat Mission which have all led to the establishment of urban capacity
in Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities. These programs all enhance civic infrastructure,
water supply, sanitation and waste management which are essential facilitators
of habitable housing conditions.
It has also become stronger due to policy changes in
taxation and city financing. New funding avenues to the sector have been
brought about through introduction of REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts),
infrastructure status of affordable housing and models of public-private
partnerships. This policy ecosystem does not only stimulate construction but it
also brings housing growth in line with national priorities such as the
creation of jobs and sustainability.
Market Opportunity and Investor Opportunity.
To investors, Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities offer a rare
combination of low cost, opportunity to grow, and stability in the long term.
The smaller cities have a higher entry affordability and favourable returns due
to steady demand in contrast to the saturated and volatile markets of Tier-1
cities.
Investors in real estate are increasingly becoming attracted
to these areas since they offer potential rental yields as well as price growth
that is not volatile. Rental yields of cities such as Pune, Lucknow,
Coimbatore, and Surat have been reported to have been between 3% and 5 and
these are higher than most submarkets in metro areas. More than that, the
values of capital in such cities are yet to reach their maturity stage and
there is a lot of room to appreciate them with the maturity of the infrastructure.
Educational hubs, IT parks and industrial estates are
present which means that both rental and purchase housing will be in demand.
Additionally, demographics like younger population, small family sizes, and
increased urban migration favor the cycles of demand. Those investors who enter
these markets early will be able to enjoy the long term growth of compounding
on their investments as these cities grow to become big cities.
This potential has also begun to be identified by
institutional investors as well as by the private equity firms. There are a
number of funds which are currently targeting affordable housing and mid-price
developments in smaller cities. Another factor that has further democratized
investment is the entry of REITs and fractional ownership models so that even
small investors can take part in such new markets.
Also, Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities tend to be less risky in
comparison to metros. The real estate market is not as speculative and end-user
based here hence price stability. There are reduced costs of land and less
complex legislative conditions, thereby enabling the execution of a project to
be more relaxed and fast. On the business front, developers are having better
margins and risk diversification.
Since India is in the process of urbanization, as the
population is estimated to be almost half of the total population living into
urban areas by 2047 the housing needs will certainly leak out of the metro
regions. The next frontier of domestic and international investors to join the
India urban growth story, therefore, is tier-2 and Tier-3 cities.
Conclusion
The development of Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities is a radical
change of the Indian urban direction. They used to be marginal players, but now
they are the colorful hubs of opportunities that can provide affordable housing
and the improvement of the quality of life and huge investment opportunities.
Several factors are behind this change which include; economic
decentralization, infrastructural developments, state regulations and evolving
lifestyles.
They are the cities of homeownership that are not far but
within their reach as it is to millions of Indians. To the developers and
investors, they have sustainable markets that have a long-term growth
potential. And on behalf of the country in general, they represent the dream of
inclusive, balanced and future-oriented urbanization.
With India on its path to being a 5-trillion economy, the real estate industry will be an important part of India’s social and economic landscape. The new frontier of affordable housing, where dreams come true and communities develop, will be the Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities, which will become the engine of such transformation.
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